Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	12:00	Footballclub


	Unión Adarve		Siello

	1	X	2
	1.50	3.60	6.00
	1.50	3.50	5.20
	1.47	3.97	6.37
	1.49	3.92	6.3	Watch
	1.45	3.90	6.30
	1.44	4.18	6.79
	1.40	4.00	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.67)	3.87 ↑ (3.2)	6.14 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Unión Adarve
61.8%

Draw
23.4%

Siello
14.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.1%

27.2%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

25.4%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Adarve has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Adarve's performance.

Siello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Siello might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Adarve that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siello than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Unión Adarve - Siello Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Kosty ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Pradillos Castrillejo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 3 - 0, ⚽,
82', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 8th and 17th in the Relegation).

In recent outings, Unión Adarve has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Siello has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bookmakers give the edge to Unión Adarve for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Unión Adarve has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Unión Adarve against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Union Adarve	8	3	4	1	13:10	3	13
18	Siello	8	1	1	6	7:24	-17	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.10.26	Unión Adarve - Móstoles URJC	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Torrejón - Unión Adarve	4:0 ✺
27.09.26	Unión Adarve - Fuenlabrada	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	México - Unión Adarve	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Unión Adarve - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLTTT
- Siello FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.10.26	Siello - Torrejón	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Fuenlabrada - Siello	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Siello - México	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Colonia Moscardó - Siello	5:1 ✺
13.09.26	Siello - San Sebastian Reyes B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.04.26	Unión Adarve - Siello	2:1
23.11.25	Siello - Unión Adarve	2:1
24.01.21	Unión Adarve - Siello	2:1

Unión Adarve - Siello