Match Info

Primera A Women - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio 15 de Abril (Santa Fe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Unión Santa Fe		Independiente

	1	X	2
	2.87	3	2.25
	2.88	3	2.3
	2.95	3.02	2.37
	2.98	3	2.39	Watch
	2.96	2.99	2.33
	2.88	3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (3.04)	3 ↓ (3.09)	2.31 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Santa Fe
30.9%

Draw
30%

Independiente
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

29.8%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

26.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Unión Santa Fe - Independiente Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).

Unión Santa Fe has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Independiente is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Union de Santa Fe W	11	2	4	5	10:19	-9	10
13	Independiente W	11	3	0	8	13:27	-14	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Santa Fe Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
03.05.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Unión Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	River Plate - Unión Santa Fe	6:1 ✺
21.03.26	Unión Santa Fe - Banfield	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Unión Santa Fe	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTLLL
- CA Independiente Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
02.05.26	Social Atlético Televisión - Independiente	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Belgrano - Independiente	1:0 ✺
20.03.26	Independiente - River Plate	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Banfield - Independiente	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLLL

Unión Santa Fe - Independiente: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide