Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Bayern Süd - Round 16

Date: 11 October 2024, Friday


	Unterhaching II		Memmingen

	1	X	2
	4.3	3.8	1.66
	4.09	3.79	1.72
	4	3.86	1.73
	4.26	3.74	1.68
	4.3	3.8	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↓ (4.78)	3.8 ↓ (4.28)	1.69 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unterhaching II
21.8%

Draw
24.1%

Memmingen
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

21.4%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

21%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unterhaching II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Memmingen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Memmingen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unterhaching II than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memmingen than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Memmingen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Schmid F. ⚽,
85', Kainz L. 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Rietzler L. (Pen),

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Oberliga Bayern ~ Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga Bayern (Promotion: )).

Unterhaching II has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Memmingen is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Memmingen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Memmingen is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Unterhaching II
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
03.10.24	Unterhaching II - Erlbach	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	1860 München II - Unterhaching II	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Unterhaching II - Ismaning	0:1 ✺
13.09.24	Heimstetten - Unterhaching II	4:0 ✺
06.09.24	Unterhaching II - Grünwald	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- FC Memmingen
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
06.10.24	Memmingen - Sonthofen	2:0 ✺
03.10.24	Schalding-Heining - Memmingen	0:0 ✺
27.09.24	Memmingen - Nördlingen	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Deisenhofen - Memmingen	1:2 ✺
06.09.24	Memmingen - Landsberg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTTWW

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