Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 21

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Upington City		The Bees

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.05	4.55
	1.75	3.36	4.58
	1.75	3.33	4.53	Watch
	1.75	3	4.5
	1.75	3.2	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.75)	3.19 ↓ (3.33)	4.56 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Upington City
51.7%

Draw
28.5%

The Bees
19.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.3%

27.5%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

26.6%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Upington City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The Bees has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Upington City than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for The Bees than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Upington City - The Bees Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 13).

In recent matches, Upington City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

The Bees's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Upington City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Upington City is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Upington City	8	4	2	2	13:10	3	14
15	The Bees	8	1	0	7	3:11	-8	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Upington City FC
South African First Division
07.03.26	Gomora United - Upington City	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Upington City - Leicesterford City	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Kruger United - Upington City	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Highbury - Upington City	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Upington City - Black Leopards	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLTT
- The Bees FC
South African First Division
08.03.26	The Bees - Highbury	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Casric Stars - The Bees	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Baroka - The Bees	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	The Bees - Hungry Lions	1:2 ✺
28.01.26	Midlands Wanderers - The Bees	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLT

Upington City - The Bees