Match Info

Youth League - Round 17

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday


	Ural U19		Nizhny Novgorod U19

	1	X	2
	2.29	3.95	2.29
	2.45	3.82	2.38
	2.33	3.66	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.5)	3.81 ↓ (3.94)	2.33 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ural U19
38%

Draw
23.5%

Nizhny Novgorod U19
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

23.3%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

22%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ural U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Nizhny Novgorod U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural U19 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nizhny Novgorod U19 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Baybenkov V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Chalaev K. ⚽,
56', 2 - 1, Kovrechenkov I. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 in the zone Youth League (Relegation) and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ural U19 won 1.

Ural U19 has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nizhny Novgorod U19 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ural U19 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ural U19 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ural U19
Russian Youth League
25.07.25	Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - Ural U19	4:1 ✺
18.07.25	Ural U19 - Krylya Sovetov Samara U19	2:4 ✺
11.07.25	Rubin Kazan U19 - Ural U19	3:2 ✺
04.07.25	CSKA Moscow U19 - Ural U19	3:0 ✺
27.06.25	Ural U19 - Konoplev Academy U19	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Nizhny Novgorod U19
Russian Youth League
25.07.25	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Zenit Petersburg U19	2:0 ✺
18.07.25	Baltika U19 - Nizhny Novgorod U19	1:1 ✺
11.07.25	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Sochi U19	1:1 ✺
04.07.25	Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - Nizhny Novgorod U19	1:0 ✺
27.06.25	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Rubin Kazan U19	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40.7 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Youth League
14.03.25	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Ural U19	0:0
19.07.24	Ural U19 - Nizhny Novgorod U19	1:1
19.04.24	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Ural U19	1:1
27.10.23	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Ural U19	5:0
07.10.22	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Ural U19	1:2
22.10.21	Ural U19 - Nizhny Novgorod U19	2:1
30.07.21	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Ural U19	0:1

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