Match Info

Youth League - Round 8

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Ural U19		Rubin Kazan U19

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.24	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (2.12)	4.24 ↑ (3.5)	4.65 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ural U19
57.8%

Draw
22.1%

Rubin Kazan U19
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

26.5%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

26.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ural U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ural U19's performance.

Rubin Kazan U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rubin Kazan U19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural U19 than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ural U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan U19 than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rubin Kazan U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ural U19 - Rubin Kazan U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Bogomolov R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 1, Arabachyan T. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ural U19 won 2.

In recent matches, Ural U19 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rubin U19 has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ural U19 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ural U19 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 1.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ural U19 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.4:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Ural U19	24	6	4	14	29:51	-22	22
15	Rubin Kazan U19	24	4	3	17	26:59	-33	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ural U19
Russian Youth League
24.04.26	Ural U19 - Konoplev Academy U19	3:1 ✺
17.04.26	Zenit Petersburg U19 - Ural U19	5:0 ✺
10.04.26	Ural U19 - Krasnodar U19	2:5 ✺
03.04.26	Rostov U19 - Ural U19	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Ural U19 - Rodina U19	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLLTW
- Rubin Kazan U19
Russian Youth League
24.04.26	Rubin Kazan U19 - Zenit Petersburg U19	1:4 ✺
17.04.26	Krasnodar U19 - Rubin Kazan U19	5:1 ✺
10.04.26	Rubin Kazan U19 - Rostov U19	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Rodina U19 - Rubin Kazan U19	3:1 ✺
20.03.26	Rubin Kazan U19 - Chertanovo U19	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Youth League
21.11.25	Ural U19 - Rubin Kazan U19	2:0
11.07.25	Rubin Kazan U19 - Ural U19	3:2
18.10.24	Rubin Kazan U19 - Ural U19	1:3
29.08.24	Ural U19 - Rubin Kazan U19	1:3
01.12.23	Ural U19 - Rubin Kazan U19	0:2
15.10.21	Ural U19 - Rubin Kazan U19	3:4
27.07.21	Rubin Kazan U19 - Ural U19	4:0

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