Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday


	Urania Baška Voda		Hrvace

	1	X	2
	5.85	4.74	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.85 ↑ (5.4)	4.74 (4.74)	1.41 (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urania Baška Voda
15.7%

Draw
19.3%

Hrvace
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

19.1%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

16.3%

75.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urania Baška Voda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Hrvace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urania Baška Voda than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hrvace than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hrvace could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Urania Baška Voda has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hrvace is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Urania Baška Voda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hrvace is a favorite.

Recent matches Hrvace is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Last 1 head-to-head matches Urania Baška Voda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Urania Baška Voda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Urania Baška Voda
Croatian 3 HNL South
16.10.21	Vodice - Urania Baška Voda	1:0 ✺
10.10.21	Urania Baška Voda - Sloga Mravince	0:3 ✺
29.09.21	Urania Baška Voda - RNK Split	0:5 ✺
19.09.21	Urania Baška Voda - Neretvanac Opuzen	0:3 ✺
11.09.21	Neretva - Urania Baška Voda	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- NK Hrvace
Croatian 3 HNL South
29.09.21	Uskok Klis - Hrvace	2:1 ✺
11.09.21	Hrvace - Primorac Biograd	2:2 ✺
08.09.21	GOŠK Dubrovnik - Hrvace	0:0 ✺
04.09.21	Hrvace - Zagora Unešić	2:0 ✺
28.08.21	Hrvace - Neretva	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian 3 HNL South
18.04.21	Urania Baška Voda - Hrvace	0:1

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