Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Urartu Stadium (Yerevan)


	Urartu Yerevan		Noah Yerevan

	1	X	2
	5.00	3.90	1.51
	4.40	3.50	1.61
	5.48	4.02	1.55
	5.41	3.98	1.54	Watch
	4.70	4.18	1.62	Watch
	4.90	3.80	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.98 ↑ (4.07)	3.9 ↑ (3.48)	1.56 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urartu Yerevan
18.3%

Draw
23.4%

Noah Yerevan
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

26%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

25.8%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urartu Yerevan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Noah Yerevan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Noah Yerevan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urartu Yerevan than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noah Yerevan than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Noah Yerevan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Urartu Yerevan - Noah Yerevan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Mishiev A. (G) 8. Aghasaryan N. (C) 6. Alef Santos 18. Bratkov A. 30. Bruno Michel 28. Ishibashi K. 77. Lulukyan G. 3. Piloyan E. 9. Rajani M. 44. Tsymbalyuk Y. 15. Veremeev V.	99. Figueira Daniel (G) 6. Boakye E. 19. Hambardzumyan H. (C) 7. Helder Ferreira 44. Jakolis M. 23. Khamoyan A. 8. Lazetic M. 4. Mambo S. 10. Manvelyan G. 14. Oshima T. 39. Saintini N.
Substitutes
. Ayvazyan K. . Bashoyan L. . Dadamyan Z. . Dragojevic A. (G) . Ghazaryan A. . Manukyan P. . Melkonyan K. . Mirzoyan M. . Mkrtchyan S. . van Lingen . Vardanyan E. . Velosa M.	5. Avetisyan M. 29. Coneglian A. (G) 20. Costache V. 50. Danielyan S. 12. Dombila C. 57. Gareginyan A. 9. Gonzalez M. 24. Khudaverdyan Z. 3. Muradyan S. 98. Oddei B. 17. Sangare G. 33. Sualehe D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
32', 0 - 1, Helder Ferreira ⚽,
41', 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Lazetic M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 3, Helder Ferreira ⚽,
62', 🟨,
65', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urartu won 0.

Urartu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Noah is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Urartu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Noah is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urartu won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Urartu won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Noah	8	8	0	0	21:5	16	24
6	Urartu	8	3	2	3	12:10	2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Urartu Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
06.09.26	BKMA Yerevan - Urartu Yerevan	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Urartu Yerevan - Alashkert	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Shirak Gyumri - Urartu Yerevan	0:1 ✺
13.08.26	Urartu Yerevan - Syunik	3:0 ✺
07.08.26	Ararat-Armenia - Urartu Yerevan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWWL
- FC Noah Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
04.09.26	Noah Yerevan - Gandzasar	3:2 ✺
30.08.26	Noah Yerevan - Ararat	4:0 ✺
23.08.26	BKMA Yerevan - Noah Yerevan	0:1 ✺
17.08.26	Noah Yerevan - Alashkert	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Sion - Noah Yerevan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
27.05.26	Urartu Yerevan - Noah Yerevan	0:5
Armenian Cup
14.05.26	Urartu Yerevan - Noah Yerevan	2:4
Armenian Premier League
18.10.25	Noah Yerevan - Urartu Yerevan	0:0
05.10.25	Urartu Yerevan - Noah Yerevan	0:0
18.05.25	Urartu Yerevan - Noah Yerevan	3:3
01.11.24	Noah Yerevan - Urartu Yerevan	2:1
29.09.24	Urartu Yerevan - Noah Yerevan	2:1

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