Match Info

WORLD: WORLD CUP U20 - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 11 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Unico Diego Armando Maradona (La Plata)


	Uruguay U20		Italy U20

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.8
	2.8	3	2.6
	2.84	3.05	2.71
	2.76	3.12	2.86
	2.7	2.75	2.55
	2.83	3.22	2.95
	2.85	3.1	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.19)	3.03 ↓ (3.53)	2.74 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay U20
34%

Draw
31.3%

Italy U20
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

27.3%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

28.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Italy U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Italy U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay U20 than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Italy U20 than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Italy U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	62.5%	18.7%

Uruguay U20 - Italy U20 Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Uruguay U20 will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Italy U20 will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Rodriguez R. (G) 8. Chagas Rodrigo 2. Boselli S. 16. Gonzalez F. 13. Matturro Romero A. 5. Diaz F. (C) 14. Garcia D. 19. Rodriguez L. 10. Gonzalez F. 11. De Los Santos J. C. 7. Duarte A.	1. Desplanches S. (G) 3. Turicchia R. 5. Ghilardi D. 14. Guarino G. 6. Giovane S. (C) 16. Faticanti G. 4. Prati M. 8. Casadei C. 10. Baldanzi T. 20. Pafundi S. 9. Ambrosino G.
Substitutes
17. Abaldo M. 3. Antoni M. 21. Arbio J. (G) 6. De Ritis M. 9. Ferrari A. 18. Homenchenko S. 1. Machado F. (G) 4. Ponte M. 20. Siri N. 15. Sosa I.	19. Degli Innocenti D. 18. Esposito F. 13. Fiumano F. 15. Fontanarosa A. 17. Lipani L. 11. Montevago D. 7. Pisilli N. 21. Sassi J. (G) 12. Zacchi G. (G) 2. Zanotti M.
Coaches
Broli M.	Nunziata C.

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Italy U20 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Uruguay U20 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay U20
FIFA World Cup U20
08.06.23	Uruguay U20 - Israel U20	1:0 ✺
04.06.23	USA U20 - Uruguay U20	0:2 ✺
01.06.23	Gambia U20 - Uruguay U20	0:1 ✺
28.05.23	Tunisia U20 - Uruguay U20	0:1 ✺
25.05.23	Uruguay U20 - England U20	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWL
- Italy U20
FIFA World Cup U20
08.06.23	Italy U20 - South Korea U20	2:1 ✺
03.06.23	Colombia U20 - Italy U20	1:3 ✺
31.05.23	England U20 - Italy U20	1:2 ✺
27.05.23	Dominican Republic U20 - Italy U20	0:3 ✺
24.05.23	Italy U20 - Nigeria U20	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup U20
11.06.17	Uruguay U20 - Italy U20	0:1 penalties
21.05.17	Italy U20 - Uruguay U20	0:1

Uruguay U20 - Italy U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide