Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Utiel		Villarreal C

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.15	1.85
	4.49	3.54	1.70
	4.5	3.57	1.71	Watch
	4.40	3.50	1.68
	4.43	3.58	1.74
	4.20	3.45	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↑ (3.15)	3.47 ↑ (3.1)	1.72 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Utiel
21.4%

Draw
26.1%

Villarreal C
52.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.6%

28%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

27%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Utiel's form might have worsened.

Villarreal C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villarreal C's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utiel than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utiel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal C than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarreal C, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Utiel - Villarreal C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+6', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 1st in the Promotion).

Utiel is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Villarreal C shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Villarreal C may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Villarreal C carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Utiel has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:8 (averaging 0.8:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Utiel against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 0.7:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Villarreal C	8	7	0	1	13:5	8	21
18	Utiel	7	0	3	4	4:11	-7	3

Last Results with these Odds

Utiel - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 27.6%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Utiel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
09.10.26	Utiel - Levante B	0:3 ✺
04.10.26	Atlético Saguntino - Utiel	3:2 ✺
27.09.26	Utiel - Roda	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Soneja - Utiel	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Vall de Uxó - Utiel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTLT
- Villarreal C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
17.10.26	Villarreal C - Crevillente Deportivo	1:0 ✺
09.10.26	Villarreal C - Buñol	3:1 ✺
04.10.26	Ontinyent 1931 - Villarreal C	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Villarreal C - Levante B	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Atlético Saguntino - Villarreal C	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
21.02.26	Villarreal C - Utiel	3:1
12.10.25	Utiel - Villarreal C	0:2
09.02.25	Utiel - Villarreal C	1:0
17.03.24	Villarreal C - Utiel	3:1
29.10.23	Utiel - Villarreal C	1:0

Utiel - Villarreal C