Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Utrillas		Épila

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.92	2
	5.05	1.96	2.69	Watch
	3.87	3.25	1.99
	2.84	3.05	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (2.84)	2.8 ↓ (3.05)	2.27 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utrillas
24.4%

Draw
33.9%

Épila
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

29.9%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

29.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrillas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Utrillas's form might have worsened.

Épila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrillas than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utrillas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Épila than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Utrillas - Épila Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8).

Utrillas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Épila's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrillas won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Utrillas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Utrillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
16.11.25	Belchite - Utrillas	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Utrillas - Andorra CF	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Tamarite - Utrillas	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Utrillas - Atlético Monzón	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Calamocha - Utrillas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTTLL
- AD Épila CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
16.11.25	Épila - Tamarite	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Atlético Monzón - Épila	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Épila - Almudévar	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Cariñena - Épila	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Épila - Calamocha	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
04.05.25	Épila - Utrillas	3:0
04.01.25	Utrillas - Épila	3:2
26.11.23	Utrillas - Épila	1:1
05.03.23	Utrillas - Épila	0:0
05.11.22	Épila - Utrillas	1:1

Utrillas - Épila: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide