Match Info

Asian Games - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: Paloma Mizuho Stadium (Nagoya)


	Uzbekistan U23		Saudi Arabia U23

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.3	5.5
	1.60	3.50	4.80
	1.6	3.3	4.9
	1.67	3.5	5.02
	1.67	3.63	5.1	Watch
	1.63	3.4	4.7
	1.67	3.55	5.03	Watch
	1.59	3.45	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.87)	3.45 ↑ (3.3)	5.01 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uzbekistan U23
55.7%

Draw
26.2%

Saudi Arabia U23
18.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.6%

27%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uzbekistan U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Uzbekistan U23's performance.

Saudi Arabia U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saudi Arabia U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Uzbekistan U23 - Saudi Arabia U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: Uzbekistan U23 will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Muratbaev S. (G) Nasaf Qarshi 7. Bakhromov S. Nasaf Qarshi 14. Fayzullaev R. Olimpik-Mobiuz 11. Jumaev A. Neftchi Fargona 2. Khamidov S. Olimpik-Mobiuz 5. Khushvaktov K. Nasaf Qarshi 3. Murtazoyev D. Nasaf Qarshi 4. Rizakulov G. Qizilqum 9. Saidnurullaev S. Metallurg Bekabad 13. Tulkinbekov A. Bunyodkor 10. Urinboev M. (C) Antwerp	1. Al Ruwaili Y. (G) Al Hazem Rass 4. Aldawood M. 2. Al Essa S. Al Riyadh 16. Al Hussain A. Al Fayha 11. Al Khaibri T. Al Khaleej 3. Al Suwailem A. Al Fateh 13. Alyami S. 17. Al Yuhaybi A. Abha 5. Barnawi M. (C) Al Ittihad 10. Dahal S. Al Hilal 14. Houssa E. Al Qadsiah
Substitutes
20. Abdullaev D. Pakhtakor 15. Abdunazarov D. Nasaf Qarshi 17. Abdurakhmonov F. Din. Samarkand 22. Ibraimov N. Lok. Tashkent 19. Karimov O. Sogdiana 6. Khayrullaev R. Buxoro 1. Murkaev M. (G) Pakhtakor 16. Reimov M. Lok. Tashkent 12. Rustamov U. (G) Olimpik-Mobiuz 8. Saidov A. Sogdiana 23. Shodiboev S. Lok. Tashkent 18. Urmonjonov O. Din. Samarkand	7. Abba Z. 19. Al Bishri A. Al Ittihad 22. Al Burayh Mahmoud (G) 15. Al Fawaz A. Al Fateh 21. Al Ghamdi A. (G) Al Taawon 20. Al Ghumayl T. 12. Al Mutairi S. Al Hilal 9. Al Shaifan T. Al Saqer 18. Al Shamrani F. Al Ittihad 6. Dahal A. Al Riyadh 8. Haddad S. Al-Faisaly 23. Madani Y. Al Kholood

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Murtazoyev D. ⚽,
16', Al Hussain A. 🟨,
23', Alyami S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', Saidnurullaev S. ↓, Karimov O. ↑,
64', Al Yuhaybi A. ↓, Al Mutairi S. ↑,
64', Al Khaibri T. ↓, Al Bishri A. ↑,
71', Al Suwailem A. ↓, Abba Z. ↑,
73', Aldawood M. 🟨,
78', 2 - 0, Tulkinbekov A. ⚽, Fayzullaev R. (A),
81', Bakhromov S. ↓, Abdurakhmonov F. ↑,
81', Rizakulov G. ↓, Abdullaev D. ↑,
85', Jumaev A. ↓, Shodiboev S. ↑,
85', Urinboev M. ↓, Ibraimov N. ↑,
86', Al Hussain A. ↓, Al Fawaz A. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Abdurakhmonov F. ⚽, Shodiboev S. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uzbekistan U23 won 3.

Saudi Arabia U23 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Uzbekistan U23 for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Uzbekistan U23 in today's match, at odds of 1.62.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Uzbekistan U23 has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:14 (averaging 1.4:1.6 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uzbekistan U23
Asian Games Football
22.09.26	Vietnam U23 - Uzbekistan U23	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Kuwait U23 - Uzbekistan U23	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Uzbekistan U23 - Philippines U23	5:1 ✺
Friendly
08.06.26	USA U21 - Uzbekistan U23	0:1 ✺
AFC Asian Cup U23
17.01.26	Uzbekistan U23 - China U23	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWWL
- Saudi Arabia U23
Asian Games Football
22.09.26	South Korea U23 - Saudi Arabia U23	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Saudi Arabia U23 - Qatar U23	2:0 ✺
Maurice Revello Tournament
31.05.26	China U20 - Saudi Arabia U23	N/A ✺
AFC Asian Cup U23
12.01.26	Saudi Arabia U23 - Vietnam U23	0:1 ✺
09.01.26	Jordan U23 - Saudi Arabia U23	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LW?LL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
22.07.25	Uzbekistan U23 - Saudi Arabia U23	3:1
AFC Asian Cup U23
26.04.24	Uzbekistan U23 - Saudi Arabia U23	2:0
Asian Games Football
01.10.23	Uzbekistan U23 - Saudi Arabia U23	2:1
AFC Asian Cup U23
19.06.22	Uzbekistan U23 - Saudi Arabia U23	0:2
Friendly
23.03.22	Saudi Arabia U23 - Uzbekistan U23	2:0
AFC Asian Cup U23
27.10.21	Saudi Arabia U23 - Uzbekistan U23	2:2
22.01.20	Saudi Arabia U23 - Uzbekistan U23	1:0

Uzbekistan U23 - Saudi Arabia U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide