Match Info

Asian Games - Round 3

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Paloma Mizuho Stadium (Nagoya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio
Philippines	Cignal Play, Pilipinas Live
Singapore	meWATCH
South-korea	KBS, TV Chosun
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Vietnam	FPT Play, VTV Go


	South Korea U23		Saudi Arabia U23

	1	X	2
	1.18	6.50	9.50
	1.27	5.25	8.00
	1.28	5.00	7.50
	1.27	5.90	9.77
	1.36	5	7.2	Watch
	1.23	5.55	9.50
	1.30	6.00	7.62
	1.22	5.40	8.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.51)	5.58 ↑ (3.7)	8.44 ↑ (6.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Korea U23
72.6%

Draw
16.5%

Saudi Arabia U23
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

24.6%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Korea U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South Korea U23's performance.

Saudi Arabia U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

South Korea U23 - Saudi Arabia U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. South Korea U23 will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Saudi Arabia U23 will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Saudi Arabia U23 (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim J. (G) Suwon Bluewings 22. Bae Hyun-Seo Gyeongnam 16. Choi Seok-Hyun Ulsan Hyundai 7. Eom Ji-Sung Swansea 5. Kim Ji-Soo Brentford 18. Kim M. Genk 6. Lee Gi-Hyuk (C) Gangwon 14. Lee Hyun-ju Arouca 8. Lee Seung-Won Gangwon 23. Shin Min-Ha Gangwon 17. Yang Min-Hyuk Westerlo	1. Al Ruwaili Y. (G) Al Hazem Rass 15. Al Fawaz A. Al Fateh 20. Al Ghumayl T. 12. Al Mutairi S. Al Hilal 3. Al Suwailem A. Al Fateh 13. Alyami S. 17. Al Yuhaybi A. Abha 5. Barnawi M. (C) Al Ittihad 6. Dahal A. Al Riyadh 8. Haddad S. Al-Faisaly 14. Houssa E. Al Qadsiah
Substitutes
10. Bae Jun-Ho Stoke City 3. Choi Woo-Jin Jeonbuk 15. Hwang Do-Yun Seoul 2. Kang Min-Jun Pohang 13. Kang Sang-Yoon Jeonbuk 12. Kim Min-seung (G) Paju Frontier 21. Lee Seung-Hwan (G) Cheongju 9. Lee Young-Jun Grasshoppers 20. Park Kyung-sub Incheon 4. Park Seong-hun Seoul 19. Park Seung-soo Newcastle Utd 11. Yang Hyun-Jun Celtic	7. Abba Z. 19. Al Bishri A. Al Ittihad 22. Al Burayh Mahmoud (G) 4. Aldawood M. 2. Al Essa S. Al Riyadh 21. Al Ghamdi A. (G) Al Taawon 16. Al Hussain A. Al Fayha 11. Al Khaibri T. Al Khaleej 9. Al Shaifan T. Al Saqer 18. Al Shamrani F. Al Ittihad 10. Dahal S. Al Hilal 23. Madani Y. Al Kholood

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Barnawi M. ↓, Aldawood M. ↑,
54', Yang Min-Hyuk ↓, Bae Jun-Ho ↑,
60', Al Yuhaybi A. ↓, Dahal S. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Shin Min-Ha ⚽, Eom Ji-Sung (A),
69', 2 - 0, Kim M. ⚽, Bae Hyun-Seo (A),
72', Alyami S. ↓, Al Shamrani F. ↑,
76', Eom Ji-Sung ↓, Park Seung-soo ↑,
76', Kim M. ↓, Lee Young-Jun ↑,
76', Kim Ji-Soo ↓, Hwang Do-Yun ↑,
79', Al Ghumayl T. ↓, Al Khaibri T. ↑,
85', Al Suwailem A. 🟨,
89', Hwang Do-Yun 🟨,
90+2', Lee Hyun-ju ↓, Park Seong-hun ↑,

Preview

South Korea U23 is Qualified for Asian Games (Play Offs ).

Saudi Arabia U23 is Qualified for Asian Games (Play Offs ).

South Korea U23 holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, South Korea U23 has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Korea U23
Asian Games Football
15.09.26	Qatar U23 - South Korea U23	1:4 ✺
Friendly
06.06.26	Thailand U23 - South Korea U23	2:3 ✺
AFC Asian Cup U23
23.01.26	Vietnam U23 - South Korea U23	3:2 penalties ✺
20.01.26	Japan U23 - South Korea U23	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Australia U23 - South Korea U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLW
- Saudi Arabia U23
Asian Games Football
18.09.26	Saudi Arabia U23 - Qatar U23	2:0 ✺
Maurice Revello Tournament
31.05.26	China U20 - Saudi Arabia U23	N/A ✺
AFC Asian Cup U23
12.01.26	Saudi Arabia U23 - Vietnam U23	0:1 ✺
09.01.26	Jordan U23 - Saudi Arabia U23	3:2 ✺
06.01.26	Saudi Arabia U23 - Kyrgyzstan U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 W?LLW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
10.10.25	Saudi Arabia U23 - South Korea U23	4:0
WAFF Championship U23
23.03.24	South Korea U23 - Saudi Arabia U23	1:0
AFC Asian Cup U23
26.01.20	South Korea U23 - Saudi Arabia U23	1:0 ET
Friendly
07.01.16	Saudi Arabia U23 - South Korea U23	0:0

South Korea U23 - Saudi Arabia U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide