Match Info

TURKEY: TURKISH CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 11 October 2023, Wednesday


	Uşakspor		Aliaga

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.83
	4.2	3.5	1.7
	3.75	3.4	1.85	Watch
	3.59	3.52	1.82
	4.33	3.75	1.62
	3.98	3.6	1.84	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (1.96)	3.55 ↑ (3.25)	1.79 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uşakspor
23.4%

Draw
25.6%

Aliaga
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

27.7%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

28.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uşakspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Uşakspor's form might have worsened.

Aliaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aliaga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uşakspor than the current prediction. (+23.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Uşakspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (-25.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aliaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	9.1%	72.7%

Uşakspor - Aliaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Uşakspor will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Aliaga will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aliaga: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Uşakspor is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aliaga is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Uşakspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aliaga will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uşakspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
08.10.23	Karaman Belediyespor - Uşakspor	4:0 ✺
01.10.23	Uşakspor - Amed SK	0:4 ✺
23.09.23	Derince Belediyespor - Uşakspor	0:1 ✺
10.09.23	Uşakspor - Iskenderunspor	0:2 ✺
03.09.23	Aksaray Belediyespor - Uşakspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LLWLT
- Aliaga FK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
08.10.23	Aliaga - Talasgücü	3:0 ✺
01.10.23	Karabük İdmanyurdu - Aliaga	0:4 ✺
Turkish Cup
27.09.23	Turgutlu - Aliaga	1:3 ET ✺
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
23.09.23	Aliaga - İnegöl Kafkas	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Edirnespor Gençlik - Aliaga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWWWW

Uşakspor - Aliaga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide