Match Info

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga - Relegation Group - Round 32

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Bezanija (Belgrade)


	Ušće Novi Beograd		Dubočica

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.3	1.85
	3.62	3.3	1.88
	4.35	3.8	1.73	Watch
	3.9	3.1	1.83
	4.11	3.35	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (2.53)	3.37 ↑ (3.32)	1.82 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ušće Novi Beograd
23.1%

Draw
27%

Dubočica
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

28.2%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

27.5%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ušće Novi Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ušće Novi Beograd's form might have worsened.

Dubočica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dubočica's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ušće Novi Beograd than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ušće Novi Beograd, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dubočica than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dubočica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ušće Novi Beograd - Dubočica Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Dubočica will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Ugljesic N. (G) 10. Arsic Z. 35. Bastaja S. 5. Cvetkovic A. 33. Djuric D. 6. Karajlovic A. 32. Onowakpo P. 8. Savic A. 26. Stanojevic M. 11. Todorovic T. 17. Vuletic A.	27. Mitrovic M. (G) 42. Bebek M. 50. Dolmagic D. 15. Jovanovic A. 73. Kocic S. 8. Milic A. 33. Mladenovic B. 45. Pavlov E. 23. Pavlovic A. 11. Zivkovic D. 9. Zivojinovic V.
Substitutes
28. Adzic F. 15. Filipovic V. 16. Nolasco B. 29. Popovic S. 7. Stevanovic M. 25. Sutanovac L. 12. Terzic N. (G)	6. Bosnjak S. 7. Djordjevic P. 2. Jankovic L. 14. Jocic V. 10. Ljubenovic M. 4. Milicevic I. 32. Milojevic A. (G) 25. Ratkovic A. 5. Stojanovic M. 20. Teixeira D. 21. Trifunovic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Zivojinovic V. ⚽,
34', Savic A. 🟨,
37', Pavlovic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Zivkovic D. ↓, Teixeira D. ↑,
46', Savic A. ↓, Sutanovac L. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Stanojevic M. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Cvetkovic A. ↓, Nolasco B. ↑,
71', Vuletic A. ↓, Stevanovic M. ↑,
73', Dolmagic D. ↓, Trifunovic V. ↑,
73', Bebek M. ↓, Djordjevic P. ↑,
79', Djuric D. 🟥,
82', Pavlov E. ↓, Ratkovic A. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Stevanovic M. ⚽,
88', Stanojevic M. 🟨,
89', Djordjevic P. 🟨,
90', Mladenovic B. ↓, Ljubenovic M. ↑,
90+1', Todorovic T. ↓, Adzic F. ↑,

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Dubocica	12	4	4	4	13:15	-2	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ušće Novi Beograd
Serbian Prva Liga
17.04.26	Grafičar Beograd - Ušće Novi Beograd	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Mačva Šabac - Ušće Novi Beograd	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Ušće Novi Beograd - Tekstilac Odžaci	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Grafičar Beograd - Ušće Novi Beograd	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Ušće Novi Beograd - Vršac	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLTT
- FK Dubočica
Serbian Prva Liga
17.04.26	Borac Čačak - Dubočica	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Jedinstvo Ub - Dubočica	4:0 ✺
28.03.26	Dubočica - Kabel Novi Sad	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Mačva Šabac - Dubočica	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Dubočica - Tekstilac Odžaci	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Prva Liga
01.03.26	Dubočica - Ušće Novi Beograd	1:0
24.09.25	Ušće Novi Beograd - Dubočica	1:1

Ušće Novi Beograd - Dubočica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide