Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 2 - Round 10

Date: 10 June 2024, Monday

Location: Intility Arena (Oslo)


	Vålerenga 2		Follo

	1	X	2
	4	4.8	1.51
	3.75	4.75	1.6
	4.48	5.44	1.5
	4.48	5.43	1.5
	4.33	5	1.44
	4.88	4.75	1.47	Watch
	4.1	4.7	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↓ (5.18)	4.98 ↑ (4.73)	1.51 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vålerenga 2
21.3%

Draw
18.3%

Follo
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

19.3%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

18.4%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vålerenga 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Follo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga 2 than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Follo than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Follo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Vålerenga 2 - Follo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vålerenga 2 will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Follo will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Strand-Kolbjornsen S. (G) 10. Apold-Aasen L. 18. Bully O. 14. Eie B. 38. Fasika I. 36. Granli J. 5. Kerdoe M. 3. Kjelsen A. (C) 33. Obasi O. 26. Opsahl G. 20. Renshuslokken J.	1. Ostbye S. (C) 22. Badsvik M. 5. Brekke E. 30. Ghebar D. 18. Gonella R. 27. Jorde J. 21. Mulaj E. 3. Osen H. 10. Ottesen M. 14. Ruud H. L. 6. Tomas N.
Substitutes
31. Najafzadeh M. 6. Opesanmi I. 7. Pajic E. 2. Samson H. 40. Strom U. (G) 8. Winje I.	23. Elshaug R. 4. Giltvedt K. 80. Halvorsen S. 7. Henning E. 24. Joves V. 20. Larsen M. 2. Maturire J. 13. Ostbye E. (G) 28. Schmidt-Lovlund N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Ottesen M. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Brekke E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', Kerdoe M. ↓, Samson H. ↑,
79', Opsahl G. ↓, Pajic E. ↑,
80', Ghebar D. ↓, Halvorsen S. ↑,
80', Gonella R. ↓, Joves V. ↑,
80', Jorde J. ↓, Henning E. ↑,
90+1', Tomas N. ↓, Larsen M. ↑,
90+1', Brekke E. ↓, Maturire J. ↑,
90+2', Pajic E. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 3, Halvorsen S. ⚽,
90+5', Apold-Aasen L. 🟨,
90+5', Mulaj E. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Vålerenga 2 has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Follo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vålerenga 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Follo is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Follo to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Vålerenga 2 won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Vålerenga 2 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vålerenga 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
02.06.24	Ullensaker Kisa - Vålerenga 2	2:1 ✺
27.05.24	Vålerenga 2 - Skeid	1:3 ✺
16.05.24	Kjelsås - Vålerenga 2	3:1 ✺
12.05.24	Vålerenga 2 - Alta	2:4 ✺
05.05.24	Gjøvik-Lyn - Vålerenga 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Follo
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
02.06.24	Follo - Tromsdalen	3:1 ✺
26.05.24	Junkeren - Follo	3:4 ✺
20.05.24	Follo - Eidsvold Turn	0:2 ✺
11.05.24	Ullensaker Kisa - Follo	1:2 ✺
04.05.24	Kjelsås - Follo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
12.10.19	Follo - Vålerenga 2	0:0
15.04.19	Vålerenga 2 - Follo	8:2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
15.08.17	Follo - Vålerenga 2	1:2
01.05.17	Vålerenga 2 - Follo	3:2

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