Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Intility Arena (Oslo)


	Vålerenga 2		Konnerud

	1	X	2
	1.42	5.00	4.60
	1.39	5.30	4.80
	1.38	5.56	4.74
	1.49	5.38	4.31	Watch
	1.37	5.50	4.65
	1.47	5.68	4.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.36)	5.4 ↓ (5.41)	4.6 ↓ (5.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vålerenga 2
63.6%

Draw
16.7%

Konnerud
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

17%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

15.5%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vålerenga 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Konnerud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga 2 than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Konnerud than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Vålerenga 2 - Konnerud Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, El Fezani M. ⚽,
77', 2 - 0, Usman T. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, Midtgarden E. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Vålerenga 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Konnerud has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Vålerenga 2 is the obvious favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Valerenga 2	22	13	1	8	52:56	-4	40
14	Konnerud	22	5	2	15	34:59	-25	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vålerenga 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
30.08.26	Heming - Vålerenga 2	5:2 ✺
16.08.26	Vålerenga 2 - Ready	4:3 ✺
08.08.26	Asker Fotball - Vålerenga 2	5:4 ✺
01.08.26	Vålerenga 2 - Lokomotiv Oslo	3:2 ✺
25.07.26	Bærum - Vålerenga 2	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWL
- Konnerud IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
30.08.26	Konnerud - Bærum	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Gamle Oslo - Konnerud	7:1 ✺
07.08.26	Union Carl Berner - Konnerud	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Konnerud - Nordstrand	2:3 ✺
25.07.26	Grei - Konnerud	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TLWLL

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