The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Völkermarkter 34.7%
Draw 24.4%
Treibach 41%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.6%
25.3%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
25.5%
36.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Völkermarkter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Treibach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Völkermarkter than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treibach than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Völkermarkter - Treibach Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ Regionalliga South Playoffs and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Regionalliga South Playoffs).
Völkermarkter has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Treibach has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Treibach may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Treibach has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Völkermarkter has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:9 (averaging 0.7:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Völkermarkter against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.