The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Völsungur 25.5%
Draw 21.5%
HK Kópavogur 53%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.1%
19.4%
63.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.4%
18.6%
66.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Völsungur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Völsungur's performance.
HK Kópavogur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HK Kópavogur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Völsungur than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Völsungur that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HK Kópavogur than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HK Kópavogur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Völsungur - HK Kópavogur Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mendez V. (G) 9. Adalsteinsson E. 6. Albizuri I. 8. Arranz F. 97. Baldursson T. 32. Baldvinsson E. 14. Cardenas X. 4. Guardia J. 23. Gudmundsson E. 5. Kristjansson A. (C) 54. Parla S.
1. Asgeirsson O. (G) 10. Andrason A. 5. Antonsson T. 8. Atlason A. (C) 19. Gunnarsson A. 21. Jonsson I. 29. Karlsson K. 17. Radic D. 20. Styrmisson B. 16. Thordarson S. 28. Thorvarsson T.
Substitutes
91. Brynjulfsson J. 7. Davidsson D. 19. Johannsson T. G. 77. Ketilsson I. 17. Kristjansson A. 11. Sorensson G. 18. Steingrimsson A.
9. Arnarsson J. 18. Arnason R. 15. Baldursson B. 26. Benediktsson V. 45. Gudmundsson A. 6. Jonsson T. 25. Steinsson A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Baldursson T. ⚽, Arranz F. (A),
25', Styrmisson B. 🟨,
30', Kristjansson A. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Atlason A. ⚽, Gunnarsson A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Karlsson K. 🟨,
52', 1 - 2, Thorvarsson T. ⚽,
55', Gudmundsson E. ↓, Brynjulfsson J. ↑,
58', 2 - 2, Albizuri I. ⚽, Parla S. (A),
59', Karlsson K. ↓, Arnarsson J. ↑,
62', 3 - 2, Adalsteinsson E. ⚽,
72', Baldursson T. ↓, Steingrimsson A. ↑,
72', Andrason A. ↓, Jonsson T. ↑,
72', Arranz F. ↓, Davidsson D. ↑,
72', Jonsson I. ↓, Baldursson B. ↑,
75', Thorvarsson T. 🟨,
79', Thorvarsson T. ↓, Arnason R. ↑,
85', Parla S. ↓, Sorensson G. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Recent form of Völsungur has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, HK Kópavogur has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Völsungur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, HK Kópavogur is the team to beat.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Völsungur won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2.7).
Including home match between the teams, Völsungur won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.