Match Info

ICELAND: Division 2 - Round 14

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Völsungur		Reynir Sandgerði

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.6	5
	1.38	4.9	5.4
	1.41	4.92	5.09
	1.38	5.05	5.76
	1.46	4.7	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.5)	4.83 ↑ (4.48)	5.23 ↑ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Völsungur
64%

Draw
18.7%

Reynir Sandgerði
17.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.2%

20.1%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

19.2%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Völsungur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Reynir Sandgerði has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Völsungur than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Völsungur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reynir Sandgerði than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reynir Sandgerði could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Völsungur - Reynir Sandgerði Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Völsungur is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Reynir Sandgerði is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Völsungur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Völsungur is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Völsungur won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Völsungur won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iþrottafelagið Völsungur
Icelandic Division 2
21.07.24	Selfoss - Völsungur	3:4 ✺
Icelandic Fotboltinet Cup
17.07.24	Haukar - Völsungur	4:1 ✺
Icelandic Division 2
13.07.24	Völsungur - Víkingur Ólafsvík	1:0 ✺
07.07.24	Þróttur Vogum - Völsungur	5:0 ✺
23.06.24	Völsungur - Ægir	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLWLL
- Reynir Sandgerði
Icelandic Division 2
19.07.24	Reynir Sandgerði - Kormákur Hvöt	0:1 ✺
11.07.24	Ægir - Reynir Sandgerði	1:2 ✺
07.07.24	Reynir Sandgerði - Höttur Huginn	0:3 ✺
03.07.24	Knattspyrnufélag Garðabæjar - Reynir Sandgerði	5:4 ✺
28.06.24	Haukar - Reynir Sandgerði	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 2
18.05.24	Reynir Sandgerði - Völsungur	0:5
16.07.22	Reynir Sandgerði - Völsungur	1:1
14.05.22	Völsungur - Reynir Sandgerði	3:1
14.08.21	Völsungur - Reynir Sandgerði	4:1
05.06.21	Reynir Sandgerði - Völsungur	5:1

Völsungur - Reynir Sandgerði