Match Info

FINLAND: Ykkonen

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	VIFK		Klubi 04

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.53
	5	3.9	1.52
	5.5	4	1.53
	5.38	4.09	1.58
	5.38	4.05	1.58
	5.5	4.2	1.44
	5.29	4.1	1.55
	5	4	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.23 ↑ (4.42)	4.04 ↑ (4.02)	1.53 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VIFK
17.5%

Draw
22.7%

Klubi 04
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

22.5%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

22%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Klubi 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VIFK than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Klubi 04 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

VIFK - Klubi 04 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vironen A. (G) 3. Baseme A. 30. Etoka L. 16. Forsbacka R. 9. Hammar R. 18. Hiekkanen E. 8. Jarv A. 15. Kautonen T. 10. Morrissey S. 11. Stromback V. (C) 19. Xhosa S.	78. Ramula A. (G) 67. Ingman E. 75. Kujasalo N. 47. Levealahti E. 54. Mentu P. 64. Ritari M. (C) 61. Simojoki K. 63. Toivonen E. 73. Vaher A. 87. Vauhkonen E. 91. Vuorinen V.
Substitutes
2. Birhane M. 14. Doudi A. M. 4. Lindgren O. 20. Mantymaki V. 7. Pahkasalo A. 17. Puska E. 12. Vetri L. (G)	89. Azabani D. (G) 95. Baranov S. 72. Berisha A. 96. Gronblom W. 74. Hyvonen M. 98. Lietsa J. 62. Svensson N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Stromback V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 5)
61', Forsbacka R. ↓, Pahkasalo A. ↑,
61', Vuorinen V. ↓, Baranov S. ↑,
61', Vauhkonen E. ↓, Hyvonen M. ↑,
65', Pahkasalo A. 🟨,
65', Vaher A. 🟨,
68', 0 - 1, Kujasalo N. ⚽,
71', Hammar R. ↓, Mantymaki V. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Ritari M. ⚽,
75', Vaher A. ↓, Berisha A. ↑,
75', Ingman E. ↓, Svensson N. ↑,
76', 0 - 3, Berisha A. ⚽,
80', Stromback V. ↓, Doudi A. M. ↑,
81', 0 - 4, Berisha A. ⚽,
89', 0 - 5, Berisha A. ⚽,
90+1', Etoka L. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: )).

VIFK is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Klubi 04 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

VIFK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Klubi 04 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VIFK
Finnish Ykkonen
12.05.24	Atlantis Helsinki - VIFK	3:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
08.05.24	VIFK - SJK Akatemia	1:2 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
04.05.24	VIFK - JJK Jyväskylä	2:2 ✺
28.04.24	VIFK - KPV Kokkola	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Espoon Palloseura - VIFK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTTL
- Klubi 04
Finnish Ykkonen
12.05.24	Klubi 04 - Espoon Palloseura	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	RoPS - Klubi 04	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	Klubi 04 - OLS	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	KuPS Akatemia - Klubi 04	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Klubi 04 - Jazz Pori	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWTWW

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