The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
VPS 2 47.9%
Draw 20.8%
GBK Kokkola 31.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.5%
20.4%
26.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.6%
21.2%
25.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
VPS 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that VPS 2's form might have worsened.
GBK Kokkola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GBK Kokkola's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS 2 than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for VPS 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for GBK Kokkola than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GBK Kokkola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
VPS 2 - GBK Kokkola Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Haavisto R. (C) 33. Adu-Boahen A. 14. Ala-Heikkila I. 9. Holmelund C. 34. Matilainen A. 25. Mohamed E. 32. Ngobi S. 6. Piiroinen L. 29. Rajalahti A. 28. Rantamaki T. 3. Simpson R.
1. Lazarev S. (C) 23. Bjorkgren A. 9. de Sousa S. 11. Felipe Zuca 7. Hanhisuanto J. 20. Hirvikoski N. 47. Hulden S. 13. Huuhka V. 22. Kukkola E. 8. Luokkala V. 72. Maldonado T.
Substitutes
23. Ahonen A. 2. Antila J. 4. Berts W. 10. Karlsson H. 41. Kukkonen V. 30. Lakso A. 15. Monola E. 37. Somppi J. 21. Wik A.
37. Enlund R. 6. Hanhisuanto J. 19. Hedman A. 44. Kangas A. 10. Moraes L. 25. Pekkala M. (G) 32. Tuikkanen R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Piiroinen L. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Holmelund C. ⚽,
13', 3 - 0, Ngobi S. ⚽,
32', Hanhisuanto J. ↓, Hedman A. ↑,
38', Hirvikoski N. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 4)
65', Simpson R. ↓, Berts W. ↑,
65', Adu-Boahen A. ↓, Ahonen A. ↑,
65', Holmelund C. ↓, Karlsson H. ↑,
65', Ngobi S. ↓, Somppi J. ↑,
66', 3 - 1, Hirvikoski N. ⚽,
68', 3 - 2, de Sousa S. ⚽,
69', 4 - 2, (Own goal),
71', 4 - 3, Huuhka V. ⚽,
72', 5 - 3, Karlsson H. ⚽,
81', Hulden S. ↓, Moraes L. ↑,
83', 6 - 3, Somppi J. ⚽,
89', Rantamaki T. ↓, Wik A. ↑,
90', 6 - 4, Moraes L. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VPS 2 won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, VPS 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:26. (average 1.3:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, VPS 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1.5:3.3).