The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vaajakoski 25.9%
Draw 20.6%
JBK 53.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.6%
17.5%
68.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13%
16.7%
72.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vaajakoski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vaajakoski's performance.
JBK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and JBK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaajakoski than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vaajakoski that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for JBK than the current prediction. (+18.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that JBK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vaajakoski - JBK Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Puttonen V. (G) 2. Collin M. 6. Kokkonen E. 20. Laakso L. 19. Medjadji A. 11. Nizo M. 22. Sainila E. 9. Salmi E. 3. Sarkkinen J. (C) 17. Tusa K. 31. Viren V.
77. Kaldstrom H. (G) 14. Bjorkskog R. 27. Forss R. 4. Grannas E. 2. Hassan K. 21. Jarvenlahti T. 17. Nyman W. 26. Ostman B. (C) 6. Siro J. 7. Strang C. 5. Stromback A.
Substitutes
24. Hakkinen R. 14. Kinnunen T. 5. Lohi M. 4. Matilainen A. 18. Muradi B. 30. Stadig T. 13. Toivari S. (G)
11. Omoruyi N. 31. Rantala R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
32', Grannas E. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Salmi E. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Bjorkskog R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 1 - 2, Nyman W. ⚽,
46', Viren V. 🟨,
61', 2 - 2, Nizo M. ⚽,
62', Medjadji A. ↓, Stadig T. ↑,
62', Ostman B. ↓, Omoruyi N. ↑,
78', 3 - 2, Nizo M. ⚽,
79', Sainila E. ↓, Muradi B. ↑,
89', Nyman W. ↓, Rantala R. ↑,
90+3', Hassan K. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaajakoski won 1.
Vaajakoski has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
JBK has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
JBK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, JBK is the team to beat.
We predict that JBK will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Vaajakoski won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:26. (average 1.8:2.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Vaajakoski won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).