Match Info

Date: 14 March 2021, Sunday


	Valdefierro		Illueca

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.05	1.76
	4.3	3.2	1.77
	4.41	3.23	1.8
	4.2	3.42	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↓ (4.28)	3.23 ↓ (3.4)	1.79 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valdefierro
21.4%

Draw
28%

Illueca
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

26.8%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

20.8%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valdefierro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Illueca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valdefierro than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illueca than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Illueca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Valdefierro - Illueca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 17 (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 17 (Second stage)).

Valdefierro has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Illueca is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Illueca is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Valdefierro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Valdefierro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Valdefierro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
28.02.21	Valdefierro - Teruel	0:1 ✺
24.02.21	Valdefierro - Zaragoza B	1:1 ✺
20.02.21	Binéfar - Valdefierro	3:0 ✺
07.02.21	Atlético Monzón - Valdefierro	3:0 ✺
28.01.21	Valdefierro - Atlético Monzón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLLL
- CF Illueca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
03.03.21	Zaragoza B - Illueca	2:0 ✺
21.02.21	Teruel - Illueca	1:0 ✺
17.02.21	Illueca - Fraga	1:0 ✺
14.02.21	Illueca - Binéfar	0:1 ✺
07.02.21	Belchite - Illueca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
20.12.20	Illueca - Valdefierro	3:0
08.03.20	Valdefierro - Illueca	0:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
18.02.18	Valdefierro - Illueca	2:1

Valdefierro - Illueca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide