Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 9

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Valencia B		Hércules

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.95	2.5
	2.7	3.1	2.6
	3.16	2.96	2.36
	2.76	2.81	2.8
	2.71	2.91	2.57
	2.7	2.8	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.4)	2.92 ↓ (3.4)	2.58 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valencia B
33.1%

Draw
31.4%

Hércules
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

26.5%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

27%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia B than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valencia B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Valencia B - Hércules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valencia B won 2.

Valencia B is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hércules is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Valencia B won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Valencia B won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valencia B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
22.10.23	Lleida - Valencia B	3:2 ✺
14.10.23	Valencia B - CE Europa	0:0 ✺
08.10.23	Badalona Futur - Valencia B	2:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
04.10.23	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Valencia B	3:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
30.09.23	Valencia B - Cerdanyola del Vallès	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLLW
- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
22.10.23	CE Europa - Hércules	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Hércules - Cerdanyola del Vallès	3:0 ✺
08.10.23	Penya Independent - Hércules	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Hércules - Andratx	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	Sant Andreu - Hércules	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
05.03.23	Hércules - Valencia B	0:1
16.10.22	Valencia B - Hércules	3:1
31.01.21	Hércules - Valencia B	1:1
01.11.20	Valencia B - Hércules	0:0
17.11.19	Hércules - Valencia B	1:1
02.03.19	Hércules - Valencia B	2:1
14.10.18	Valencia B - Hércules	0:0

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