Match Info

Mineiro 2 - Round 10

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday


	Valeriodoce		Nacional de Muriaé

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.5	5.75
				Watch
	1.53	3.52	6.18
	1.5	3.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.64)	3.51 ↑ (3.4)	5.98 ↑ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valeriodoce
59.2%

Draw
25.7%

Nacional de Muriaé
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

27.1%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

26.1%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valeriodoce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Nacional de Muriaé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valeriodoce than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional de Muriaé than the current prediction. (+1%)

Valeriodoce - Nacional de Muriaé Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 1 - 0, ⚽,
61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
79', Gustavo Aguiar 🟥,
83', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Nacional de Muriaé is Relegated to Mineiro 3

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, Valeriodoce is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Valeriodoce won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Valeriodoce won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valeriodoce EC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
14.06.25	Democrata SL - Valeriodoce	0:1 ✺
07.06.25	North Esporte Clube - Valeriodoce	0:0 ✺
01.06.25	Valeriodoce - Ipatinga	2:3 ✺
23.05.25	Ipatinga - Valeriodoce	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Valeriodoce - Democrata SL	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTLLL
- Nacional de Muriaé
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
14.06.25	Nacional de Muriaé - North Esporte Clube	0:3 ✺
07.06.25	Ipatinga - Nacional de Muriaé	0:0 ✺
31.05.25	Nacional de Muriaé - Guarani MG	2:1 ✺
28.05.25	Democrata SL - Nacional de Muriaé	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Guarani MG - Nacional de Muriaé	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
03.05.25	Nacional de Muriaé - Valeriodoce	1:2
16.06.24	Valeriodoce - Nacional de Muriaé	2:0
11.05.24	Nacional de Muriaé - Valeriodoce	4:4

Valeriodoce - Nacional de Muriaé: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide