Match Info

LATVIA: 1. Liga - Round 16

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs (Valmiera)


	Valmiera 2		JFK Ventspils

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.1	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.64)	4.1 ↑ (4)	4.25 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valmiera 2
56.3%

Draw
22.2%

JFK Ventspils
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

22.6%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

21.5%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valmiera 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

JFK Ventspils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valmiera 2 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JFK Ventspils than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Valmiera 2 - JFK Ventspils Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Minuss R. (G) 15. Cesnieks K. 17. Duke C. 18. Dusalijevs N. 3. Kalnins E. 14. Kizili J. 4. Kragliks R. 10. Omori Y. 9. Pulis I. (C) 8. Rotar C. 11. Zauska R. K.	1. Petrov A. (C) 11. Arroyo M. 14. Bojaroon V. 6. Hounlette P. 17. Liepajnieks V. 23. Lucins A. 9. Markovs K. 10. Petersons D. 25. Petersons R. 22. Phileus W. 7. Rozancevs N.
Substitutes
5. Alekseiciks K. 21. Blaubergs M. 20. Cepelevs D. 90. Kalnins H. (G) 2. Krasts R. 19. Lucas Aruba 16. Stupelis O. 33. Tkacenko A.	12. Gaisins J. 27. Kichigins I. 16. Mukaev A. (G) 21. Solomonov N. 15. Weidemanis R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Phileus W. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Kizili J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Duke C. ↓, Krasts R. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Liepajnieks V. ⚽,
60', Kizili J. ↓, Lucas Aruba ↑,
60', Cesnieks K. ↓, Alekseiciks K. ↑,
62', Bojaroon V. ↓, Gaisins J. ↑,
64', Petersons R. ↓, Weidemanis R. ↑,
65', Dusalijevs N. ↓, Blaubergs M. ↑,
66', Petersons D. ↓, Solomonov N. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Arroyo M. ⚽,
81', Pulis I. ↓, Stupelis O. ↑,
83', Minuss R. 🟨,
88', Lucins A. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valmiera FK 2
Latvian 1 Liga
09.08.24	Tukums 2000 2 - Valmiera 2	4:1 ✺
03.08.24	Rīgas FS 2 - Valmiera 2	2:0 ✺
29.07.24	Leevon PPK - Valmiera 2	2:1 ✺
20.07.24	JDFS Alberts - Valmiera 2	3:2 ✺
05.07.24	Skanstes - Valmiera 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- JFK Ventspils
Latvian 1 Liga
11.08.24	JFK Ventspils - Rēzekne	4:0 ✺
02.08.24	JFK Ventspils - Tukums 2000 2	0:1 ✺
28.07.24	Rīgas FS 2 - JFK Ventspils	5:2 ✺
21.07.24	Leevon PPK - JFK Ventspils	0:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
13.07.24	JFK Ventspils - Riga	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
21.04.24	JFK Ventspils - Valmiera 2	0:3
21.05.23	Valmiera 2 - JFK Ventspils	0:1

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