Match Info

Division 2 - Västra Götaland - Round 7

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday


	Varbergs GIF		Astrio

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.75	2
	3.65	4	1.79
	3.73	3.71	1.75
	3.67	3.96	1.78	Watch
	3.4	4.32	1.8
	3.65	4	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.15)	3.96 ↑ (3.45)	1.82 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varbergs GIF
26.3%

Draw
23.2%

Astrio
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

25.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

24.1%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varbergs GIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Astrio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varbergs GIF than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astrio than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Varbergs GIF - Astrio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varbergs GIF won 3.

Varbergs GIF has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Astrio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Astrio might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Varbergs GIF won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Varbergs GIF won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varbergs GIF
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
04.05.25	Onsala - Varbergs GIF	3:2 ✺
27.04.25	Varbergs GIF - Åstorps	0:1 ✺
17.04.25	Västra Frölunda - Varbergs GIF	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Varbergs GIF - Lindome	0:3 ✺
05.04.25	Varbergs GIF - Qviding	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLLW
- BK Astrio
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
03.05.25	Astrio - Landvetter	4:2 ✺
26.04.25	Laholms - Astrio	2:1 ✺
18.04.25	Astrio - Hestrafors	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Onsala - Astrio	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	Astrio - Lindome	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
24.08.24	Varbergs GIF - Astrio	4:2
27.04.24	Astrio - Varbergs GIF	0:1
25.08.23	Varbergs GIF - Astrio	2:0
28.04.23	Astrio - Varbergs GIF	3:2
03.09.22	Astrio - Varbergs GIF	2:1
15.05.22	Varbergs GIF - Astrio	0:1
25.09.21	Astrio - Varbergs GIF	0:0

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