Match Info

Division 2 - Västra Götaland - Round 24

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday


	Varbergs GIF		Jonsereds

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.65	2.4
	3.21	4.02	1.83
	3.02	3.68	2.02
	3	3.75	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.64)	3.78 ↑ (3.58)	2.07 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varbergs GIF
31.3%

Draw
24.3%

Jonsereds
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

25.5%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

24.2%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varbergs GIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Jonsereds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varbergs GIF than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varbergs GIF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonsereds than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jonsereds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Varbergs GIF - Jonsereds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 5)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Varbergs GIF has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Jonsereds's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jonsereds may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Varbergs GIF won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Varbergs GIF won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varbergs GIF
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
26.09.25	Böljan - Varbergs GIF	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Qviding - Varbergs GIF	3:0 ✺
11.09.25	Varbergs GIF - Laholms	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Tvååker - Varbergs GIF	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Varbergs GIF - Västra Frölunda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL
- Jonsereds IF
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
28.09.25	Jonsereds - Laholms	2:5 ✺
19.09.25	Lindome - Jonsereds	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Västra Frölunda - Jonsereds	4:2 ✺
05.09.25	Jonsereds - Onsala	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Jonsereds - Bergdalen	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
24.05.25	Jonsereds - Varbergs GIF	2:1
11.08.24	Varbergs GIF - Jonsereds	3:2
13.04.24	Jonsereds - Varbergs GIF	1:2

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