Match Info

Date: 3 September 2020, Thursday


	Varbergs GIF		Prespa Birlik

	1	X	2
	2.1	4	2.8
	1.95	4	2.9
	2.15	3.7	2.48
	2.04	3.7	2.85
	2.04	3.98	2.93
	2.05	3.75	2.8
	2.07	3.8	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.64)	3.85 ↓ (4.23)	2.81 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varbergs GIF
44.1%

Draw
23.6%

Prespa Birlik
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

21%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

15%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varbergs GIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varbergs GIF's form might have worsened.

Prespa Birlik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Prespa Birlik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varbergs GIF than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varbergs GIF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Prespa Birlik than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Varbergs GIF - Prespa Birlik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Varberg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Prespa Birlik is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Varberg is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Varberg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Varberg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varbergs GIF
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
29.08.20	Västra Frölunda - Varbergs GIF	5:0 ✺
20.08.20	Varbergs GIF - Halmia	1:1 ✺
16.08.20	Bunkeflo IF - Varbergs GIF	0:0 ✺
11.08.20	Vinbergs - Varbergs GIF	4:1 ✺
07.08.20	Varbergs GIF - Ullared	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTTLW
- KSF Prespa Birlik
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
30.08.20	Prespa Birlik - Assyriska BK	3:1 ✺
22.08.20	Onsala - Prespa Birlik	5:1 ✺
19.08.20	Västra Frölunda - Prespa Birlik	2:0 ✺
16.08.20	Prespa Birlik - Ängelholm	0:4 ✺
08.08.20	IFK Malmö - Prespa Birlik	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
30.09.18	Varbergs GIF - Prespa Birlik	2:0
02.06.18	Prespa Birlik - Varbergs GIF	2:1

Varbergs GIF - Prespa Birlik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide