Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Västra Götaland - Round 26

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday


	Varbergs GIF		Tord

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.2	5
	1.63	4	4.5
	1.6	3.93	4.35
	1.61	4.11	4.46
	1.6	4.1	4.35
	1.63	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.64)	4.06 ↓ (4.15)	4.53 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varbergs GIF
57.4%

Draw
22.5%

Tord
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

21.9%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

18.6%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varbergs GIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Tord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varbergs GIF than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varbergs GIF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tord than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tord could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Varbergs GIF - Tord Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 2)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 4 and 6).

Recent matches Varbergs GIF is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tord is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Varbergs GIF could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Varbergs GIF is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Varbergs GIF won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Varbergs GIF won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varbergs GIF
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
13.10.24	Husqvarna - Varbergs GIF	2:1 ✺
03.10.24	Varbergs GIF - Lindome	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Varbergs GIF - Öckerö	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Västra Frölunda - Varbergs GIF	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Hittarp - Varbergs GIF	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWTTL
- IK Tord
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
12.10.24	Tord - Jonsereds	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Qviding - Tord	3:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
02.10.24	Tord - Häcken	1:2 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
29.09.24	Lindome - Tord	1:4 ✺
22.09.24	Tord - Sävedalen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
08.06.24	Tord - Varbergs GIF	0:2
19.08.23	Tord - Varbergs GIF	1:1
22.04.23	Varbergs GIF - Tord	0:1
21.08.21	Varbergs GIF - Tord	2:1
20.06.21	Tord - Varbergs GIF	3:1

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