Match Info

Copa Federacion - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Varea		San Sebastian Reyes

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.25	1.78
	1.76	3.05	5.39	Watch
	4.17	3.55	1.83
	4.1	3.3	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↓ (3.82)	3.29 ↓ (3.48)	2.7 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varea
29.5%

Draw
31.8%

San Sebastian Reyes
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

26.2%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varea's performance.

San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Sebastian Reyes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Varea - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Ubis E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
77', 1 - 1, Harta F. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, Gonzalez M. ⚽,

Preview

SS Reyes is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, SS Reyes has had a series of home games.

In this match, SS Reyes is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

San Sebastian Reyes - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Varea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
14.09.25	Berceo - Varea	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.09.25	Varea - Moralo	2:0 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
07.09.25	Varea - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:0 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
22.06.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Varea	3:0 ✺
15.06.25	Varea - Rayo Vallecano B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWTLL
- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.09.25	Fuenlabrada - San Sebastian Reyes	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.09.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Alfaro	1:0 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.09.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Alcalá	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Real Ávila	4:0 ✺
09.08.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Ebro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWWW

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