Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 15

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Varesina		Sona

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.6
	2.5	2.95	2.69
	2.48	3.08	2.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2)	3.01 ↑ (2.9)	2.66 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varesina
36.3%

Draw
29.9%

Sona
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

30%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

27.1%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varesina's form might have worsened.

Sona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varesina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sona than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Varesina is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Varesina will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Varesina
Italian Serie D - Group B
04.12.22	Varesina - Casatese	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Seregno - Varesina	1:3 ✺
20.11.22	Varesina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Alcione - Varesina	4:0 ✺
06.11.22	Varesina - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLLT
- Sona Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
04.12.22	Sona - Seregno	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Caronnese - Sona	2:1 ✺
20.11.22	Sona - Casatese	0:0 ✺
13.11.22	Varese - Sona	1:2 ✺
06.11.22	Sona - Alcione	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLTWL

Varesina - Sona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide