The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varginha 31.5%
Draw 32.9%
Ipatinga 35.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.3%
32.2%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
35.5%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varginha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Ipatinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varginha than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varginha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipatinga than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ipatinga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
60%
20%
Varginha - Ipatinga Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Varginha will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Ipatinga will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 60%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 84.8%.
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Preview
Recent matches Varginha is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ipatinga is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Ipatinga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Varginha won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
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