Match Info

Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 18

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Varhaug		Brodd

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.00	3.30
	1.73	3.85	3.35
	1.85	4.24	2.99
	1.86	4.48	3.07	Watch
	1.82	4.15	2.95
	1.86	4.34	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.59)	4.18 ↓ (4.81)	3.14 ↓ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Varhaug
49.7%

Draw
21.6%

Brodd
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

19.1%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

18.7%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varhaug has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varhaug's form might have worsened.

Brodd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brodd's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varhaug than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varhaug, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brodd than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brodd, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Varhaug - Brodd Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Auestad R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
77', 2 - 0, Dalbye T. ⚽,
89', 3 - 0, Dalbye T. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 and 6)

Varhaug has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brodd is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Varhaug may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Varhaug is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Varhaug	22	10	6	6	41:34	7	36
8	Brodd	22	9	3	10	40:42	-2	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varhaug IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
30.08.26	Mandalskameratene - Varhaug	0:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
26.08.26	Varhaug - Sandnes Ulf	2:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
17.08.26	Varhaug - Stabæk 2	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Varhaug - Hinna	3:5 ✺
27.07.26	Haugesund 2 - Varhaug	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLT
- Brodd
Norwegian NM Cup
02.09.26	Brodd - Viking Stavanger	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
30.08.26	Brodd - Viking 2	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Flekkerøy - Brodd	0:1 ✺
03.08.26	Brodd - Stabæk 2	2:2 ✺
26.07.26	Akra IL - Brodd	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWTW

Upcoming Matches