Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 20

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday


	Varketili		Gardabani

	1	X	2
	1.78	4.14	3.46	Watch
	1.67	3.92	4.11
	1.65	3.95	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.67)	4 ↑ (3.86)	3.81 ↓ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varketili
53.4%

Draw
22.7%

Gardabani
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

23.6%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

23.3%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varketili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Gardabani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varketili than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gardabani than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Varketili - Gardabani Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Varketili (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 2nd Half - Varketili (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (4.45) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Varketili (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Deisadze I. ⚽,
54', 2 - 0, Pipia G. ⚽,
72', 3 - 0, Khmaladze G. ⚽,
79', 4 - 0, Ghirdaladze Z. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 9).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Gardabani has had a series of home games.

In this match, Varketili is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Varketili won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Varketili
Georgian Liga 3
18.09.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi 2 - Varketili	2:3 ✺
12.09.25	Varketili - Betlemi Keda	3:0 ✺
05.09.25	Merani Tbilisi - Varketili	3:2 ✺
27.08.25	Varketili - Gori	0:0 ✺
21.08.25	Varketili - Orbi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLTT
- FC Gardabani
Georgian Liga 3
18.09.25	Gardabani - Odishi 1919	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Gardabani - Lokomotivi Tbilisi 2	5:2 ✺
05.09.25	Betlemi Keda - Gardabani	4:1 ✺
27.08.25	Gardabani - Merani Tbilisi	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Gardabani - Gori	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Liga 3
24.04.25	Gardabani - Varketili	1:2

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