Match Info

3. CFL - Group B - Round 15

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Mestsky stadion v Kotline (Varnsdorf)


	Varnsdorf		Baník Most-Souš

	1	X	2
	4.05	4.35	1.58
	3.46	5.41	1.63
	3.67	4.43	1.68	Watch
	4.46	4.01	1.65	Watch
	5.6	4.2	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↓ (5.6)	4.48 ↑ (4.2)	1.6 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varnsdorf
21.7%

Draw
20.6%

Baník Most-Souš
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

21.7%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

16.4%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varnsdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varnsdorf's performance.

Baník Most-Souš has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varnsdorf than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Most-Souš than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baník Most-Souš, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Varnsdorf - Baník Most Souš Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kudela A. (G) 16. Ahile T. 23. Costa R. 21. Kovbasa A. 6. Lopez M. 15. Matviichuk I. 10. Nziengui B. 4. Prytykovsky D. 11. Senko K. 9. Stepanenko V. 5. Taveira A. (C)	20. Smrkovsky V. (G) 19. Cihak J. 10. Kopriva J. 8. Kratky M. 13. Kytka M. 5. Novak R. (C) 14. Novicky O. 7. Podzimek O. 22. Radba A. 16. Tomsik J. 18. Vlasak A.
Substitutes
7. Barylyak S. 22. Capieque E. 20. Funda L. 18. Grafek D. 8. Lemonfa M. 33. Lytovka I. (G) 12. Schenker M. L.	23. Hadinec M. 9. Latifaj J. 15. Light E. 4. Paldrych D. 1. Patka M. (G) 6. Sedlak V. 12. Zorna R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Novicky O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 0 - 2, Novicky O. ⚽,
64', Costa R. ↓, Capieque E. ↑,
79', 0 - 3, Tomsik J. ⚽,
83', Kratky M. ↓, Zorna R. ↑,
83', Radba A. ↓, Latifaj J. ↑,
88', Novicky O. ↓, Paldrych D. ↑,
88', Kopriva J. ↓, Sedlak V. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varnsdorf won 3.

Varnsdorf has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Baník Most-Souš is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Varnsdorf may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Baník Most-Souš is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Varnsdorf won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Varnsdorf won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Varnsdorf
Czech CFL Group B
09.11.25	Hradec Kralove B - Varnsdorf	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Varnsdorf - Arsenal Česká Lípa	0:5 ✺
26.10.25	Mladá Boleslav B - Varnsdorf	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Varnsdorf - Jablonec B	1:2 ✺
10.10.25	Slovan Liberec B - Varnsdorf	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTLL
- Baník Most-Souš
Czech CFL Group B
08.11.25	Baník Most-Souš - Robstav Velvary	2:3 ✺
01.11.25	Baník Most-Souš - Sparta Kolín	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Hradec Kralove B - Baník Most-Souš	4:2 ✺
18.10.25	Baník Most-Souš - Arsenal Česká Lípa	1:3 ✺
11.10.25	Mladá Boleslav B - Baník Most-Souš	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
08.02.25	Varnsdorf - Baník Most-Souš	1:0
Czech Division 2
13.05.15	Varnsdorf - Baník Most-Souš	3:1
02.11.14	Baník Most-Souš - Varnsdorf	2:1
11.05.14	Baník Most-Souš - Varnsdorf	0:2
Club Friendly
25.01.14	Baník Most-Souš - Varnsdorf	4:2
Czech Division 2
20.10.13	Varnsdorf - Baník Most-Souš	4:0
05.06.13	Baník Most-Souš - Varnsdorf	4:2

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