Match Info

CZECH REPUBLIC: FNL - Round 27

Date: 8 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Mestsky stadion v Kotline (Varnsdorf)

Referee: Pechanec O. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sporttotal.cz


	Varnsdorf		Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	4.75	Watch
	1.57	4	4.4
	1.53	4.2	4.75
	1.57	4.42	4.96
	1.57	4.42	4.96
	1.56	4.26	4.86	Watch
	1.52	4.4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.9)	4.24 ↑ (3.35)	4.87 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varnsdorf
59.4%

Draw
21.7%

Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

27.1%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

25.5%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varnsdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varnsdorf's performance.

Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varnsdorf than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varnsdorf that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Varnsdorf - Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž Predictions

Users Predictions: Varnsdorf will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Vanak M. (G) 22. Kouril M. 9. Kriz D. 21. Kubista M. 15. Polyak T. 19. Rudnytskyy P. (C) 10. Samko D. 12. Stransky V. 13. Vojta M. 11. Yuzvak A. 20. Zalesak R.	45. Dostal J. (G) 6. Cupak M. (C) 21. Fulnek J. 19. Jaron M. 23. Kudela M. 80. Machalik D. 25. Oulehla J. 11. Silny J. 15. Vincour T. 2. Wala V. 3. Zavadil P.
Substitutes
17. Babatunde T. 7. Dufek L. 14. Gembicky D. 5. Kosar J. 1. Pesl L. (G) 23. Podzimek O. 6. Vlk M.	24. Chwaszcz S. 17. Dockal J. 1. Gergela M. (G) 9. Hrdlicka L. 18. Jelecek T. 20. Martinek N. 4. Tiahlo O.
Coaches
Holenak M.	Onda M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Kudela M. 🟨,
14', Cupak M. 🟨,
15', Jaron M. 🟨,
40', Zalesak R. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Kouril M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Oulehla J. ↓, Dockal J. ↑,
46', Kudela M. ↓, Jelecek T. ↑,
52', Kouril M. ↓, Kosar J. ↑,
59', Jelecek T. 🟨,
60', Kriz D. 🟨,
63', Rudnytskyy P. ↓, Gembicky D. ↑,
63', Kriz D. ↓, Babatunde T. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Samko D. ⚽,
70', Jaron M. ↓, Chwaszcz S. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Cupak M. ⚽,
81', Wala V. ↓, Martinek N. ↑,
83', Martinek N. 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Chwaszcz S. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 2, Samko D. ⚽,
90+3', Stransky V. ↓, Podzimek O. ↑,
90+3', Babatunde T. ↓, Vlk M. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Varnsdorf is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kroměříž has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Varnsdorf is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Varnsdorf won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Varnsdorf
Czech Division 2
03.05.24	Vysočina Jihlava - Varnsdorf	3:3 ✺
27.04.24	Vyškov - Varnsdorf	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Varnsdorf - Prostějov	5:1 ✺
17.04.24	Chrudim - Varnsdorf	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Varnsdorf - Zbrojovka Brno	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TLWTW
- SK Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž
Czech Division 2
04.05.24	Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž - Sparta Prague B	3:3 ✺
27.04.24	Vlašim - Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž	2:0 ✺
21.04.24	Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž - Dukla Prague	0:2 ✺
17.04.24	Sigma Olomouc B - Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž	4:2 ✺
14.04.24	Viktoria Žižkov - Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Division 2
21.10.23	Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž - Varnsdorf	1:2

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