Match Info

CZECH REPUBLIC: ChNL - Round 3

Date: 31 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Mestsky stadion v Kotline (Varnsdorf)

Referee: Opocensky V. (Cze)


	Varnsdorf		Opava

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	2.75
	2.15	3.5	2.75
	2.15	3.5	2.85
	2.27	3.7	2.85
	2.29	3.51	2.92	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.81	Watch
	2.2	3.65	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.61)	3.54 ↑ (3.15)	2.84 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varnsdorf
41.8%

Draw
25.9%

Opava
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

29.3%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

28.9%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varnsdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varnsdorf's performance.

Opava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varnsdorf than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varnsdorf that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Opava than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Varnsdorf - Opava Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Varnsdorf will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pesl L. (G) 8. Ambler M. 9. Hudak J. 5. Kosar J. 22. Kouril M. 21. Kubista M. (C) 16. Lexa M. 11. Nykrin D. 4. Osaghae S. 23. Podzimek O. 20. Zalesak R.	26. Richter A. (G) 20. Blecha F. 8. Cejka F. 21. Helesic M. 6. Janoscin J. (C) 18. Kozak L. 10. Muzik L. 13. Omale S. 14. Ondracek A. 11. Rataj T. 29. Rezek J.
Substitutes
10. Babatunde T. 14. Camara D. 13. Galeno N. D. S. 12. Grafek D. 2. Kubin T. 33. Lichtenberg K. (G) 18. Stradins D. 17. Usman H.	77. Babka M. (G) 27. Hybl M. 5. Pejsa S. 15. Vincour T. 36. Vladar M. 32. Whiffen T.
Coaches
Kopecky I.	Zapotocny T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Podzimek O. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Ambler M. ⚽,
40', Kouril M. 🟨,
40', Kozak L. 🟨,
40', Rezek J. 🟨,
44', Rataj T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Podzimek O. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
49', Ondracek A. 🟨,
64', Muzik L. ↓, Pejsa S. ↑,
64', Rezek J. ↓, Vladar M. ↑,
66', Nykrin D. ↓, Stradins D. ↑,
66', Kosar J. ↓, Kubin T. ↑,
70', Osaghae S. 🟨,
73', 2 - 0, Stradins D. ⚽,
74', Ambler M. 🟨,
81', 3 - 0, Camara D. ⚽,
86', Blecha F. 🟨,
89', Hudak J. ↓, Galeno N. D. S. ↑,
89', Lexa M. ↓, Usman H. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Cejka F. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Varnsdorf won 2.

Varnsdorf is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Opava is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Varnsdorf could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Varnsdorf won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Varnsdorf won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Varnsdorf
Czech Division 2
21.07.24	Varnsdorf - Viktoria Žižkov	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Ústí nad Labem - Varnsdorf	1:4 ✺
10.07.24	Varnsdorf - Slovan Liberec B	3:1 ✺
05.07.24	Varnsdorf - Ústí nad Labem	5:2 ✺
29.06.24	Varnsdorf - Chrudim	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWWL
- SFC Opava
Czech Division 2
26.07.24	Opava - Zbrojovka Brno	1:1 ✺
19.07.24	Opava - Vlašim	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Opava - Fotbal Třinec	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Opava - Śląsk Wrocław	0:2 ✺
02.07.24	Opava - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Czech Division 2
12.11.23	Varnsdorf - Opava	2:1
28.07.23	Opava - Varnsdorf	1:0
28.05.23	Opava - Varnsdorf	2:1
31.07.22	Varnsdorf - Opava	3:1
30.04.22	Opava - Varnsdorf	3:1
24.11.21	Varnsdorf - Opava	0:3
29.04.18	Varnsdorf - Opava	1:2

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