The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varnsdorf 53.7%
Draw 24.2%
Robstav Velvary 22.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
26%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.4%
23.1%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varnsdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varnsdorf's performance.
Robstav Velvary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Robstav Velvary might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varnsdorf than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varnsdorf that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Robstav Velvary than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Robstav Velvary could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Varnsdorf - Robstav Velvary Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Richter A. (C) 15. Boryshpolets S. 20. Funda L. 17. Gavrylyuk N. 24. Kovbasa A. 5. Lopez M. 6. Matviichuk I. 23. Panchenko S. 10. Senko K. 2. Sokol J. 4. Tymoshenko I.
31. Tresl M. (G) 14. Belaska T. 2. Beranek A. 5. Hronek P. 39. Jelinek J. 27. Sedlacek V. 30. Sladovnik F. 35. Sow I. 36. Sulc L. (C) 12. Vlcek P. 28. Vokrinek J.
Substitutes
16. Ahile T. 7. Barylyak S. 9. Berezka D. 21. Capieque E. 18. Grafek D. 1. Roze V. (G) 11. Sirenko O.
10. Badyk D. 4. Conk M. 18. Krasl J. (G) 24. Radl J. 29. Sarr I. 6. Setka J. 22. Zeman M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Sladovnik F. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Senko K. ⚽,
30', Beranek A. ↓, Setka J. ↑,
35', 2 - 1, Lopez M. ⚽,
43', 2 - 2, Sow I. ⚽,
43', Matviichuk I. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
45+2', 3 - 2, Ahile T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kovbasa A. ↓, Barylyak S. ↑,
46', Belaska T. ↓, Zeman M. ↑,
49', Boryshpolets S. 🟨,
58', Sladovnik F. 🟨,
60', Sedlacek V. 🟨,
65', Sedlacek V. ↓, Conk M. ↑,
67', Sokol J. ↓, Sirenko O. ↑,
67', Funda L. ↓, Capieque E. ↑,
68', 4 - 2, Ahile T. ⚽,
73', Gavrylyuk N. ↓, Berezka D. ↑,
75', Senko K. 🟨,
80', 4 - 3, Sulc L. ⚽,
82', Zeman M. 🟨,
89', Richter A. 🟨,
90', Sulc L. 🟨,
90+2', Sirenko O. 🟨,
90+5', Vlcek P. 🟨,
90+5', Panchenko S. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Varnsdorf has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Robstav Velvary is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Robstav Velvary may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Varnsdorf is considered a favorite.
We predict that Varnsdorf will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Varnsdorf won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:3. (average 3.5:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Varnsdorf won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 4.5:0.5).
Watch
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Richter A. (C) 
Boryshpolets S. 
Lopez M. 
Sow I. 
Ahile T. 
Capieque E. 
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