Match Info

ChNL - Round 23

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Mestsky stadion v Kotline (Varnsdorf)

Referee: Opocensky V. (Cze)


	Varnsdorf		Táborsko

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3.1
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.25	3.2	2.9
	2.25	3.4	3.09
	2.3	3.33	3.03	Watch
	2.22	3.2	2.98	Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.42)	3.19 ↓ (3.3)	2.96 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varnsdorf
40.4%

Draw
28.7%

Táborsko
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

27.5%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.6%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varnsdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Táborsko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varnsdorf than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Táborsko than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Varnsdorf - Táborsko Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Varnsdorf will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Táborsko will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Vanak M. (G) 17. Dohalsky P. 7. Dufek L. 10. Firbacher F. 2. Hora J. 12. Karban K. 22. Kouril M. 21. Kubista M. (C) 5. Leitl M. 18. Velich O. 20. Zalesak R.	18. Pastornicky M. (G) 11. Afolabi S. 8. Blaha O. 23. Djordjic B. 19. Heppner P. 22. Katerinak J. 27. Nikl M. 5. Novak P. (C) 26. Polyak T. 14. Splichal J. 15. Varacka M.
Substitutes
4. Osaghae S. 1. Pesl L. (G) 23. Podzimek O. 19. Rudnytskyy P. 3. Suleiman A. 6. Vlk M.	13. Barac J. 29. Hais D. 28. Hak T. 1. Kerl D. (G) 25. Kopacek J. 9. Mach J. 20. Nesicky A. 7. Novak O. 16. Rataj F. 30. Volesky P.
Coaches
Papousek P.	Krondak R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Polyak T. ⚽,
36', Dufek L. 🟨,
37', Heppner P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Dohalsky P. ↓, Osaghae S. ↑,
46', Splichal J. ↓, Hak T. ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Afolabi S. ⚽,
60', 1 - 2, Zalesak R. ⚽,
64', Afolabi S. ↓, Hais D. ↑,
69', Firbacher F. ↓, Podzimek O. ↑,
69', Dufek L. ↓, Vlk M. ↑,
71', Pastornicky M. 🟨,
73', Djordjic B. ↓, Barac J. ↑,
75', Hora J. 🟨,
76', Hora J. ↓, Rudnytskyy P. ↑,
86', Polyak T. 🟨,
89', Hak T. ↓, Volesky P. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Varnsdorf won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Varnsdorf won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 36:33 (average 1.8:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Varnsdorf won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Varnsdorf
Czech Division 2
12.04.25	Vyškov - Varnsdorf	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Varnsdorf - Artis Brno	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Chrudim - Varnsdorf	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Varnsdorf - Sparta Prague B	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Varnsdorf - Zbrojovka Brno	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWLWL
- FK MAS Táborsko
Czech Division 2
12.04.25	Táborsko - Sparta Prague B	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Opava - Táborsko	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Táborsko - Viktoria Žižkov	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Zbrojovka Brno - Táborsko	0:2 ✺
10.03.25	Táborsko - Vysočina Jihlava	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Division 2
02.10.24	Táborsko - Varnsdorf	2:0
06.04.24	Táborsko - Varnsdorf	4:1
27.08.23	Varnsdorf - Táborsko	0:2
14.05.23	Varnsdorf - Táborsko	5:3
23.10.22	Táborsko - Varnsdorf	1:1
08.05.22	Varnsdorf - Táborsko	2:0
Czech Tipsport Liga
22.01.22	Táborsko - Varnsdorf	1:0

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