Match Info

BRAZIL: Brasileiro U23 - Round 7

Date: 4 November 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Vasco da Gama U23		Sport Recife U23

	1	X	2
	1.64	3.7	4.82
	1.61	3.71	5.04	Watch
	1.59	3.72	4.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (2.02)	3.71 ↑ (3.25)	4.94 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama U23
56.8%

Draw
24.7%

Sport Recife U23
18.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.9%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

27.5%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama U23's performance.

Sport Recife U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sport Recife U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama U23 than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vasco da Gama U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife U23 than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sport Recife U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vasco da Gama U23 - Sport Recife U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Coutinho C. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Luiz Gustavo ⚽,
44', 3 - 0, Lopes B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 4 - 0, Juninho ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U23 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).

Recent matches Vasco U23 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sport Recife U23 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vasco U23 will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama U23
Brasileiro U23
28.10.24	CRB U23 - Vasco da Gama U23	1:3 ✺
23.10.24	Vasco da Gama U23 - Atlético Mineiro U23	2:1 ✺
20.10.24	Vasco da Gama U23 - Fortaleza U23	1:1 ✺
15.10.24	Vitória Salvador U23 - Vasco da Gama U23	4:3 ✺
09.10.24	Fluminense U23 - Vasco da Gama U23	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTLT
- Sport Recife U23
Brasileiro U23
28.10.24	Sport Recife U23 - Vitória Salvador U23	0:1 ✺
24.10.24	Botafogo RJ U23 - Sport Recife U23	2:1 ✺
17.10.24	Sport Recife U23 - CRB U23	0:1 ✺
09.10.24	Atlético Mineiro U23 - Sport Recife U23	2:1 ✺
02.10.24	Sport Recife U23 - Fluminense U23	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT

Vasco da Gama U23 - Sport Recife U23

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama U23 - Sport Recife U23 Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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