The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vastese 47.1%
Draw 28.4%
Polisportiva Vastogirardi 24.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.4%
28%
24.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
29.2%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vastese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Polisportiva Vastogirardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vastese than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polisportiva Vastogirardi than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs)).
Vastese is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Vastogirardi is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Vastese will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Vastese won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Vastese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.