Match Info

Date: 23 October 2021, Saturday


	Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg		Großbardorf

	1	X	2
	3	3.7	1.93
	2.65	3.3	2.2
	2.55	3.9	2.08
	3.2	3.84	2.04
	3.14	3.68	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.1)	3.68 ↑ (3.65)	2.05 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
31.2%

Draw
24.6%

Großbardorf
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

24.2%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

18.8%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Großbardorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Großbardorf than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Großbardorf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg - Großbardorf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation) and 11).

Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Großbardorf is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Großbardorf could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
15.10.21	Seligenporten - Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg	0:0 ✺
09.10.21	Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg - Bayern Hof	3:3 ✺
02.10.21	Sand - Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg	0:0 ✺
25.09.21	Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg - DJK Don Bosco Bamberg	1:2 ✺
18.09.21	Eintracht Bamberg - Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTTLL
- TSV Großbardorf
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
16.10.21	Großbardorf - DJK Ammerthal	1:0 ✺
08.10.21	ATSV Erlangen - Großbardorf	4:0 ✺
02.10.21	Großbardorf - Gebenbach	0:5 ✺
25.09.21	Ansbach - Großbardorf	1:0 ✺
18.09.21	Großbardorf - Cham	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLLW

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