Match Info

3rd Division - Relegation Group - Round 27

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Vejgaard		Holbæk

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.65	1.71
	4	3.62	1.72
	4.06	3.65	1.76	Watch
	4	3.3	1.7
	4.28	3.64	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (4)	3.57 ↓ (3.93)	1.72 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vejgaard
22.3%

Draw
25.2%

Holbæk
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

23.1%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

22.8%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vejgaard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Holbæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vejgaard than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holbæk than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Vejgaard - Holbæk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vejgaard won 1.

Vejgaard is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Holbæk is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Vejgaard has had a series of away games.

In this match, Holbæk is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Vejgaard won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Vejgaard won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Holbaek	10	7	1	2	26:18	8	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vejgaard BK
Danish 3 Division
02.05.26	Lyseng - Vejgaard	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Vejgaard - Odder	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	BK Frem - Vejgaard	5:0 ✺
11.04.26	Sundby - Vejgaard	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Nykøbing - Vejgaard	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- Holbæk B&I
Danish 3 Division
02.05.26	Holbæk - Sundby	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Holbæk - BK Frem	4:1 ✺
18.04.26	Lyseng - Holbæk	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Odder - Holbæk	1:4 ✺
06.04.26	Brønshøj BK - Holbæk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
15.11.25	Vejgaard - Holbæk	3:1
11.10.25	Holbæk - Vejgaard	2:2
21.10.23	Vejgaard - Holbæk	2:2
30.09.23	Holbæk - Vejgaard	2:0
Danish 2 Division - Relegation Group
20.06.20	Holbæk - Vejgaard	3:2
17.06.17	Vejgaard - Holbæk	2:1
23.04.17	Holbæk - Vejgaard	3:0

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