Match Info

3rd Division - Round 10

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Vejgaard		Nykøbing

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.65	1.77
	3.67	3.78	1.82
	25.00	17.48	1.00	Watch
	3.7	3.62	1.81
	3.3	3.5	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.86 ↑ (3.82)	6.41 ↑ (3.61)	1.66 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vejgaard
14.3%

Draw
17.6%

Nykøbing
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

25.1%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

24.5%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vejgaard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vejgaard's form might have worsened.

Nykøbing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nykøbing's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vejgaard than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vejgaard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nykøbing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vejgaard - Nykøbing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, ⚽,
44', 0 - 3, ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 4, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 0 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone 3rd Division (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: )).

Vejgaard has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nykøbing is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nykøbing will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vejgaard BK
Danish 3 Division
27.09.25	Vejgaard - Vanløse	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	BK Frem - Vejgaard	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Vejgaard - Hørsholm-Usserød	2:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
10.09.25	Vejgaard - Esbjerg	1:2 ✺
Danish 3 Division
06.09.25	Lyseng - Vejgaard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTLW
- Nykøbing FC
Danish 3 Division
27.09.25	Nykøbing - Sundby	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Næsby - Nykøbing	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Nykøbing - Odder	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	FA 2000 - Nykøbing	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Nykøbing - Lyseng	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTWWW

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