Match Info

3rd Division - Relegation Group - Round 28

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Vejgaard		Sundby

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.45	2.35
	3.34	3.47	1.91
	3.31	3.69	1.95	Watch
	3.4	3.2	1.95
	2.55	3.5	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.53)	3.46 ↓ (3.48)	2.11 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vejgaard
30.2%

Draw
26.4%

Sundby
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

26%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

25.9%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vejgaard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vejgaard's form might have worsened.

Sundby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sundby's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vejgaard than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vejgaard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sundby than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Vejgaard - Sundby Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sundby will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Vejgaard has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sundby is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vejgaard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sundby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vejgaard won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Vejgaard won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Sundby	10	3	1	6	14:16	-2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vejgaard BK
Danish 3 Division
09.05.26	Vejgaard - Holbæk	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Lyseng - Vejgaard	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Vejgaard - Odder	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	BK Frem - Vejgaard	5:0 ✺
11.04.26	Sundby - Vejgaard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL
- Sundby BK
Danish 3 Division
08.05.26	Sundby - BK Frem	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Holbæk - Sundby	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Sundby - Lyseng	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Odder - Sundby	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sundby - Vejgaard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
11.04.26	Sundby - Vejgaard	2:0
28.03.26	Sundby - Vejgaard	3:0
16.08.25	Vejgaard - Sundby	1:1

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