Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA WEST - ROUND 23

Date: 23 February 2024, Friday


	Velbert		Rot-Weiß Ahlen

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.2
	2.75	3.75	2.25	Watch
	2.73	3.4	2.25
	2.93	3.51	2.32
	2.74	3.52	2.24
	2.75	3.5	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.19)	3.51 ↑ (3.37)	2.25 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velbert
33.3%

Draw
26%

Rot-Weiß Ahlen
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

26.5%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

26.7%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Velbert's form might have worsened.

Rot-Weiß Ahlen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rot-Weiß Ahlen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velbert than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Velbert, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Ahlen than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rot-Weiß Ahlen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Velbert - Rot Weiß Ahlen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Velbert is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ahlen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Velbert could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Velbert won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Velbert won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSVg Velbert
German Regionalliga West
17.02.24	Fortuna Köln - Velbert	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Velbert - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:5 ✺
06.02.24	Velbert - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	0:3 ✺
03.02.24	Gütersloh - Velbert	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.01.24	Schonnebeck - Velbert	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLW?
- Rot-Weiß Ahlen
German Regionalliga West
17.02.24	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Wiedenbrück	0:1 ✺
13.02.24	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Schalke 04 II	3:2 ✺
10.02.24	Paderborn II - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.01.24	Bövinghausen - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	Canceled ✺
17.01.24	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Gievenbeck	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWT??

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
02.09.23	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Velbert	3:2
03.04.16	Velbert - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	1:3
18.10.15	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Velbert	1:2

Velbert - Rot-Weiß Ahlen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide