Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Fall Season - Round 6

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Avangard Stadium (Domodedovo)


	Veles Moscow		Alania Vladikavkaz

	1	X	2
	2.19	2.8	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.35)	2.8 (2.8)	3.66 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Veles Moscow
42%

Draw
32.9%

Alania Vladikavkaz
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

32.8%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

32.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Veles Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Alania Vladikavkaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Veles Moscow than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Veles Moscow - Alania Vladikavkaz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mitsaev R. (G) 40. Burkin D. 10. Geloyan I. 54. Kistenev K. 5. Koloskov A. 17. Kotov P. 80. Rybalko M. 77. Smirnov O. 8. Tarasenko Z. 3. Volkov V. 22. Zavezen Y.	1. Byazrov D. (G) 99. Abdulkhamidov M. 14. Amiraliev A. 71. Byazrov A. 11. Chertkoev D. 7. Dibirov I. 95. Gogniev S. 8. Khugaev A. 92. Stanisavljevic A. 58. Yshyk M. 9. Zakirov A. M.
Substitutes
24. Biryukov D. 18. Dzhamuev H. 90. Galkin V. 11. Gaynov M. 88. Kovalkov M. 76. Kuptsov I. (G) 4. Maklakov I. 92. Popov P. 97. Shubin A. 20. Sysoev E.	5. Bagaev A. 22. Bulatsev T. 65. Datiev Z. S. 17. Dudaev I. 27. Gogniev R. 6. Ibragimov E. 76. Karkuzaev G. 70. Khidiev K. 21. Kozyrev A. 75. Ogoev S. 89. Shashlov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Geloyan I. ↓, Sysoev E. ↑,
63', Burkin D. ↓, Shubin A. ↑,
70', Kistenev K. ↓, Kovalkov M. ↑,
76', Smirnov O. ↓, Popov P. ↑,
77', Tarasenko Z. ↓, Galkin V. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Shubin A. ⚽,
81', Chertkoev D. ↓, Karkuzaev G. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Veles won 0.

Veles is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alania's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Veles could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Veles won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Veles won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Veles Moscow
Russian Cup
20.08.25	Veles Moscow - Krasnoye Znamya	2:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
16.08.25	Dynamo Kirov - Veles Moscow	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Veles Moscow - Volgar Astrakhan	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Leningradets - Veles Moscow	2:2 ✺
27.07.25	Veles Moscow - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWTW
- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian Cup
20.08.25	Legion Makhachkala - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
16.08.25	Alania Vladikavkaz - Tyumen	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	Dynamo 2 Moscow - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	Dynamo Kirov - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:2 ✺
27.07.25	Alania Vladikavkaz - Volgar Astrakhan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
08.04.23	Veles Moscow - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:2
18.09.22	Alania Vladikavkaz - Veles Moscow	1:0
27.11.21	Alania Vladikavkaz - Veles Moscow	2:1
21.08.21	Veles Moscow - Alania Vladikavkaz	2:2
08.05.21	Alania Vladikavkaz - Veles Moscow	0:0
11.11.20	Veles Moscow - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:1

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