Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 20

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Venda		Baroka

	1	X	2
	2	2.82	3.85
	1.98	2.95	3.91
	2.01	2.95	3.91	Watch
	2	2.75	3.8
	1.97	2.93	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.98)	2.88 ↓ (3)	3.88 ↓ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venda
45.4%

Draw
31.4%

Baroka
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

30.5%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

29.3%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Baroka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venda than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Venda - Baroka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venda won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Baroka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Venda might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Venda won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Venda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Venda	5	0	1	4	3:9	-6	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venda FA
South African First Division
27.02.26	Kruger United - Venda	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Venda - Lerumo Lions	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Gomora United - Venda	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Venda - Casric Stars	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Venda - Upington City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTTLW
- Baroka FC
South African First Division
01.03.26	University of Pretoria - Baroka	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Baroka - The Bees	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Black Leopards - Baroka	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Baroka - Highbury	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Kruger United - Baroka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
07.12.25	Baroka - Venda	0:1
01.02.25	Venda - Baroka	5:1
07.12.24	Baroka - Venda	4:2
10.03.24	Baroka - Venda	0:1
08.10.23	Venda - Baroka	0:1
18.02.23	Baroka - Venda	3:1

Venda - Baroka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide